财政分权与产业结构变迁
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| Title | Fiscal Decentralization and Structural Transformation
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| 作者 | 严成樑 赵文哲 |
| Author | Yan Chengliang and Zhao Wenzhe |
| 作者单位 | 中央财经大学经济学院 |
| Organization | Central University of Finance and Economics |
| 作者Email | yanchengliang@gsm.pku.edu.cn；zwenzhe@163.com |
| 中文关键词 | 财政分权 产业结构 经济增长 农业部门 非农业部门 |
| Key Words | Fiscal Decentralization; Structural Transformation; Economic Growth; Agriculture Sector; Non-agriculture Sector |
| 内容提要 | 本文构建了一个包含中央政府和地方政府行为的产业结构变迁模型，考察了财政分权对产业结构变迁的影响。研究发现，财政分权通过影响财政支出在中央政府和地方政府之间的配置，从而影响经济增长和产业结构变迁。财政分权对产业结构变迁的影响与中央政府和地方政府财政支出的产出弹性有关，经济中可能存在最优的财政分权可以极小化农业部门的劳动力份额。财政分权对产业结构变迁的影响是不确定的，财政分权程度过低或过高都不利于产业结构变迁。在此基础上，运用我国29个省份1985—2010年的数据，本文通过面板数据模型考察了财政分权对我国产业结构变迁的影响。研究发现，财政分权程度越高，农业部门劳动力份额越低，这说明财政分权有利于我国产业结构变迁，且这一结论是稳健的。 |
| Abstract | This paper presents a model including both central government expenditure and local government expenditure, and we explore the impact of fiscal decentralization on structural transformation. It is found that fiscal decentralization could affect the allocation of government expenditure between central government and local government, which in turn affect economic growth and structural transformation. The impact of fiscal decentralization on structural transformation depends on the elasticity of government expenditure, and there exists an optimal fiscal decentralization, which could minimize labor share in agriculture sector. The effect of fiscal decentralization on structural transformation is indeterminate. Too large or too small fiscal decentralization could harm structural transformation. In addition, we exam the impact of fiscal decentralization on structural transformation through the panel data of 29 provinces from 1985 to 2010. The empirical result is that fiscal decentralization can enhance the process of structural transformation in China, and the result is robust. |
| 文章编号 | WP995 |
| 登载时间 | 2015-12-18 |
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