政府扶持与新型产业的发展——以新能源为例
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| Title | Government Support and Development of Emerging Industries——A New Energy Industry Survey
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| 作者 | 周亚虹 蒲余路 陈诗一 |
| Author | Zhou Yahong,Pu Yulu and Chen Shiyi |
| 作者单位 | 上海财经大学；复旦大学 |
| Organization | Shanghai University of Finance and Economics;FUDAN University |
| 作者Email | yahong.zhou@mail.shufe.edu.cn；mikepucd@163.com；shiyichen@fudan.edu.cn。 |
| 中文关键词 | 创新驱动 市场培育 新能源 倾向得分匹配 |
| Key Words | Innovation-driven; Market Cultivation; New Energy; Propensity Score Matching |
| 内容提要 | 政府对产业的干预在我国各个经济发展阶段都能见其踪影。当前转型经济时期，政府仍将主导部分产业的发展。新能源产业作为经济新常态下最重要的创新驱动来源之一，还关系到社会对绿色环保需求，受到政府的大力扶持。本文的关注点在于，政府采用传统的补贴供给端的扶持政策，能否起到引导新能源等新型产业自主创新和健康发展的作用。从已有文献来看，关于政府扶持效果的讨论主要以传统行业为研究对象。而对需求市场尚不成熟、科技含量要求相对较高的新型产业政策的机制缺乏相应的研究。本文试图在这方面进行探讨，在理论部分通过构建基于新型产业特征的企业行为反应模型，将促进生产和补贴需求的两类政策纳入评价范畴，分别讨论了这两方面政府政策的影响。在此基础上，进一步采用上市公司样本通过计量分析来实证检验我们的理论结果。本文主要发现：（1）产业起步阶段，政府补助能带来新型产业盈利优势；（2）产业扩张后，政府扶持难以有效鼓励企业进行更多的研发投入，导致的后果是同质化产能过剩。因此，激励原始创新和转向需求培育可能是未来新型产业政策调整的方向。 |
| Abstract | Government intervention plays an important role in almost every stage of China’s economic development. At present, during the transitional economy, many industries will still be led by the government. Promoting new energy industry development, is not only one of the most important sources of innovation-driven growth in this “new normal” economy, but also a measure for green environmental protection, which makes it to be highly concerned and vigorously supported. In this paper, we want to discuss whether traditional support policies focusing on the supply side could stimulate the development of emerging industries like new energy industry and induct the independent innovation of enterprises. There are a lot of relevant literatures on effects of support policy, however，there are still some main drawbacks. Existing literatures mainly use traditional industries as research objects, rather than emerging industries which have immature consumption market while requiring high technology, and lack the research of policy mechanism on both supply and demand side. These drawbacks motivate us to propose an enterprise behavior model concerning firms’ reaction to production subsidies and demand subsidies provided by the government under the consideration of characteristics of emerging industries. We use qualitative analysis to consider the impact of industrial support on corporate profit and R&D investment of enterprises in emerging industries, and make quantitative analysis using Chinese listed companies’ data to prove theoretical conclusions. Results show that: (1) during the start-up periods, government grants may help to build emerging industries’ advantage in profit; (2) after industry expansion, since encouraging production cannot drive coordinated development of weak market foundation, in addition, non-specific subsidies can hardly create incentives for R&D investment, then homogeneous competition and overcapacity will be the common results. Therefore, the realization of original innovation and market cultivation will be the key point of future policy adjustment. |
| 文章编号 | WP849 |
| 登载时间 | 2015-03-27 |
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