区域振兴战略与我国工业空间结构变动——对中国工业企业调查数据的实证分析
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| Title | Regional Revitalization Strategies and the Industrial Spatial Structure Changes in China
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| 作者 | 洪俊杰 刘志强 黄薇 |
| Author | Hong Junjie, Liu Zhiqiang and Huang Wei |
| 作者单位 | 对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院；北京建筑大学理学院 |
| Organization | University of International Business and Economics;Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture |
| 作者Email | hongjunjie@yahoo.com；liuzhiqiangtf@yahoo.com.cn；mirandehuang@hotmail.com |
| 中文关键词 | 集聚经济 工业空间布局 区域振兴战略 |
| Key Words | Agglomeration; Industrial Spatial Distribution; Regional Revitalization Strategies |
| 内容提要 | 本文在理论分析的基础上，运用1998-2007年间中国工业企业调查的年均222650家企业层面面板数据，实证分析了税率、运输基础设施及其它区域振兴政策对我国工业空间结构变动的影响。研究结果表明，东部地区仍然具有更好的道路基础设施和更优惠的税收政策，工业主要集中在东部地区的事实没有根本性变化，但在2004年以后有比较缓慢的向中西部转移的趋势。实证研究表明运输基础设施与税收政策对工业空间分布有显著的影响。模拟显示欠发达地区的税率降低10%或者人均道路面积增加10%，当地的工业产出占全国的比重分别比现在提高大约1%和0.65%。 基础设施与税收政策对于不同产业的影响不一样，税收政策影响的行业范围更广。总体来说，中部崛起战略促进了中部省份主动吸收、承接东部沿海地区转移的工业，特别是劳动力密集型产业；西部大开发战略对促进资源密集型行业在该地区的发展有一定效果；而东北振兴战略的效果较弱。为了实现区域经济的协调可持续发展，政府应该在税率、基础设施建设等方面加大对欠发达地区的支持力度。 |
| Abstract | This paper uses the 1998-2997 China manufacturing census data and studies how the tax policy, transportation infrastructure and other regional revitalization strategies affect the industrial spatial structure. Statistical results show that the eastern region still has better road infrastructure and more preferential tax policy. Industrial companies are mainly concentrated in the eastern part, but have more slowly after 2004 the trend of the transfer to the central and western regions. Empirical results show that transport infrastructure and tax policies of industrial spatial distribution have a significant effect. Simulations show that if the tax rate decrease by 10% or per capita road area increase by 10% in less developed areas, the rate of local industrial output to all country output accounts for the proportion of about 1% and 0.65% higher respectively than now. Infrastructure and tax policy is different to the influence of dissimilar industries; tax policy affects a wider range of industries. Rise of central China strategy promotes in general, the inner provinces to absorb and to undertake the industrial transfer from the eastern coastal area, especially the labor-intensive industry. The western development strategy has a definite effect on promoting the development of resource - intensive industry in the region. The effect of the strategy of rejuvenating the northeast is weak. In order to realize the sustainable development of regional economic coordination, the government should be in taxes, infrastructure, etc to increase support to less developed areas. |
| 文章编号 | WP447 |
| 登载时间 | 2013-06-06 |
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